Our traditional approach to US petroleum inventories blending five-year average seasonal patterns with recent trends has had some success in anticipating changes a week at a time, sometimes beating the street with our forecasts.
However, based on their experience matching physical traders, producers, and refiners with storage capacity over the past ten years, our friends at The Tank Tiger, LLC have developed a method to forecast the path of US physical inventories a month in advance, providing a real edge for those in the know.
For a closer look, please check out the attached slide deck and, if interested, contact Steven Barsamian (sbarsamian@thetanktiger.com) to set up a trial. Tell him Tim Evans sent you!